Nová projekce vývoje počtu příjemců příspěvku na péči v ČR do roku 2030

now up to date. The conditions for assessing the level of dependence and the value of the care allowance have
changed; therefore, the original data need to be updated. The consolidation of data in the information systems
of the Ministry of Labour and Social Affairs allows us to draw on data on the structure of the recipients of the
care allowance according to gender, age and dependence rates in 2010–2016.
Two models were chosen for a new projection of the number of recipients of the care allowance – a static
model and a dynamic one. Based on these models, it can be expected that by 2030 the number of recipients of
the care allowance will increase from the current 350,000 to 469–489,000, and the most significant increases
can be expected on the third and fourth levels of dependence. Society is not prepared for this increase
in the number of recipients, so it is necessary to fundamentally change the system for financing social services
and to strongly support the development of home care.