Božena Kadeřábková, Emilie Jašová
Comparation of the economic cycle on labour market in the construction industry and in the national economy of the Czechia
Číslo: 3/2020
Periodikum: Civil Engineering Journal
DOI: 10.14311/CEJ.2020.03.0024
Klíčová slova: NAIRU, HP filter, Kalman filter, Stochastic trend, Unemployment gap, Labor market
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The analysis revealed negative gaps in the period of economic transformation but there were periods with positive unemployment gaps in the years 2007 and 2008 too.
We used the development in the last period to predict the development in the near future. This ad hoc estimate is compared with model estimate made on an extended time series up to the end of the year 2018.