Accident rate in Polish mining. Current status and forecast

mining industry in the period from 2010 to 2020 with forecasts for
the next three years. The study consists of two parts. The first part
deals with methods of analyzing working conditions in the mining
industry. A key element of the literature review is the econometric
methods that researchers have used to analyze accidents at work in
mining. In the empirical part (the second part of the paper), the
authors present the results of their own econometric analysis. The
authors use econometric models in predicting the indicator (W*) –
total number of people injured in accidents per thousand employees.
Testing classical econometric models, the authors obtained the best
forecasts (based on the obtained forecast errors) in Winters' model
and Brown's model. The accident at work in mining is an important
topic for research because the branch of industry belongs to the
branch with hard work. Health and safety in mines have great
importance for the sake of specific conditions in that kind of
industry. Continuous analysis of accidents at work is necessary for
the evaluation of system effectiveness of the health and safety
system in all mines. Forecasting accidents at work can help miners
to build safety in mines.